Depending on your valuation of him, all three are plausible. Green could opt in for another season, opt out and try to ink a longer deal right now or opt in and sign an extension using that salary as a base. Green is a fascinating case because he’s probably more valuable to the Warriors than he is to any other team, and because his player option for $27.6 million offers numerous opportunities, none of which are totally clear as the best option. ![]() Draymond Green, 33, Golden State (player option): $23,789,491 ![]() There isn’t enough shot creation here for star-level upside, which is why teams should be careful going too high up the salary ladder, but Johnson is a valuable piece who seems likely to have multiple suitors.ģ. The other consideration, of course, is that Johnson is such a plug-and-play fit in most systems because he can competently guard both forward spots, runs the floor and shoots 39.3 percent career from 3. ( Joe Harris and Patty Mills would be the likely places to start.) Brooklyn enters the offseason just $10 million from the projected tax line matching a strong sheet for Johnson would push the Nets past the first tax apron unless they could ditch salary someplace else. Cam Johnson, 27, Brooklyn (restricted): $26,368,306ĭon’t be surprised if the bidding on Johnson gets a little wacky, simply because rival teams know they might be able to scare the Nets from matching if they can present a strong offer sheet. If he were paid $20 million, for example, only $19.3 million of it would count, because half the amount he loses to suspension (1/145th of his salary for each of the 10 games) would be deducted from the tax calculation. That likely would further mute any market for Bridges, who otherwise would be a popular free agent as a productive, athletic, 25-year-old combo forward.įinally, note that only about 96.5 percent of Bridges’ salary in 2023-24 will count against his team’s luxury-tax calculation because of the suspension. One can argue he should be paid more than that because, in any future contract years, he won’t have the suspension hanging over him one can also probably more forcefully argue he should be paid less given the cause of his suspension.īridges is still technically a restricted free agent, meaning Charlotte could match an offer sheet from another team. ![]() With Bridges guaranteed to be unavailable for a chunk of the schedule, I prorated his valuation for the coming season downward by an equivalent amount, which is how I landed at $29.69 million. He will begin the 2023-24 season by serving an additional 10-game suspension (20 games of his suspension are already considered served). He pleaded no contest to a felony domestic violence charge in November and faces three years of probation but no jail time as part of a deal with prosecutors. He sat out the season after an offseason domestic violence incident involving the mother of his children. Of course, any discussion of Bridges has to go well beyond a statistical projection. Miles Bridges, 25, Charlotte (restricted): $29,689,570īridges had a valuation of $30.5 million when I did this exercise last year that valuation changed to $33.6 million this time around because the cap is projected to go up by just over 10 percent. Tier II: More than midlevel, less than max 1. Here’s how BORD$ sees the market: Tier I: The max or near-max guys Thor, Jabari Walker and Trendon Watford.Īlso, remember we’ll be updating this list on the regular as players and teams decline or fulfill option years, go though waivers and otherwise enter and leave the market. Other partially guaranteed or non-guaranteed players who seem unlikely to be waived and aren’t listed below include Jarred Vanderbilt, Haywood Highsmith, Bol Bol, Jonathan Isaac, J.T. Keep in mind I’ve only listed likely free agents here Otto Porter Jr., for instance, has already opted into his player option for the year and was thus omitted similarly, team options on Isaiah Livers, Lamar Stevens, Nathan Knight and Kenyon Martin Jr. While this method has some limitations - it’s a value for the coming season only, for instance, and obviously, factors like health, attitude and fit are difficult to account for - it provides a common-sense check on player contracts for the coming season. ![]() Now, we’re drilling down into the depths of the market, listing every relevant player at each position throughout the week.Īgain, we’ll be doing what I’ve done the past two offseasons: Using my BORD$ valuations to help develop an idea of what these players are worth. For those who missed it last year, here’s what we’re doing: We’ve already broken down the top 25 overall free agents in this summer’s market.
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